The Report of the Iraq Inquiry — Executive Summary · 2016
Front matter
¶Report of a Committee of Privy Counsellors
¶HC 264
¶Return to an Address of the Honourable the House of Commons
dated 6 July 2016 for
¶The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
¶Executive Summary
¶Report of a Committee of Privy Counsellors
¶Ordered by the House of Commons to be printed on 6 July 2016
¶HC 264
¶© Crown copyright 2016 This publication is licensed under the terms of the Open Government Licence v3.0 except where otherwise stated. To view this licence, visit nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/ version/3 or write to the Information Policy Team, The National Archives, Kew, London TW9 4DU, or email: psi@nationalarchives.gsi.gov.uk. Where we have identified any third party copyright information you will need to obtain permission from the copyright holders concerned. This publication is available at www.gov.uk/government/publications Any enquiries regarding this publication should be sent to us at Iraq.Inquiry@Cabinet-Office.x.gsi.gov.uk Print ISBN 9781474133319 Web ISBN 9781474133326 ID 23051602 46561 07/16 Printed on paper containing 75% recycled fibre content minimum Printed in the UK by the Williams Lea Group on behalf of the Controller of Her Majesty's Stationery Office
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Contents Introduction — 4
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Pre‑conflict strategy and planning — 5
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The UK decision to support US military action — 6
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UK policy before 9/11 — 6
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The impact of 9/11 — 10
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Decision to take the UN route — 16
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Negotiation of resolution 1441 — 19
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The prospect of military action — 21
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The gap between the Permanent Members of the Security Council widens — 24
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The end of the UN route — 30
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Why Iraq? Why now? — 40
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Was Iraq a serious or imminent threat? — 40
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The predicted increase in the threat to the UK as a result of military action in Iraq — 47
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The UK's relationship with the US — 51
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Decision‑making — 54
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Collective responsibility — 55
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Advice on the legal basis for military action — 62
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The timing of Lord Goldsmith's advice on the interpretation of resolution 1441 — 63
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Lord Goldsmith's advice of 7 March 2003 — 65
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Lord Goldsmith's arrival at a "better view" — 66
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The exchange of letters on 14 and 15 March 2003 — 66
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Lord Goldsmith's Written Answer of 17 March 2003 — 67
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Cabinet, 17 March 2003 — 68
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Weapons of mass destruction — 69
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Iraq WMD assessments, pre‑July 2002 — 69
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Iraq WMD assessments, July to September 2002 — 72
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Iraq WMD assessments, October 2002 to March 2003 — 75
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The search for WMD — 77
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Planning for a post‑Saddam Hussein Iraq — 78
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The failure to plan or prepare for known risks — 78
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The planning process and decision‑making — 81
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The post‑conflict period — 86
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Occupation — 86
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Looting in Basra — 86
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Looting in Baghdad — 88
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UK influence on post‑invasion strategy: resolution 1483 — 89
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UK influence on the Coalition Provisional Authority — 90
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A decline in security — 93
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The turning point — 96
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Transition — 97
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UK influence on US strategy post‑CPA — 97
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Planning for withdrawal — 97
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The impact of Afghanistan — 99
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Iraqiisation — 101
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Preparation for withdrawal — 103
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A major divergence in strategy — 103
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A possible civil war — 104
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Force Level Review — 107
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The beginning of the end — 108
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Did the UK achieve its objectives in Iraq? — 109
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Key findings — 111
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Development of UK strategy and options, 9/11 to early January 2002 — 111
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Development of UK strategy and options, January to April 2002 – "axis of evil" to Crawford — 111
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Development of UK strategy and options, April to July 2002 — 112
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Development of UK strategy and options, late July to 14 September 2002 — 112
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Development of UK strategy and options, September to November 2002 – the negotiation of resolution 1441 — 113
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Development of UK strategy and options, November 2002 to January 2003 — 113
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Development of UK strategy and options, 1 February to 7 March 2003 — 114
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Iraq WMD assessments, pre‑July 2002 — 115
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Iraq WMD assessments, July to September 2002 — 116
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Iraq WMD assessments, October 2002 to March 2003 — 117
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The search for WMD — 117
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Advice on the legal basis for military action, November 2002 to March 2003 — 119
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Development of the military options for an invasion of Iraq — 120
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Military planning for the invasion, January to March 2003 — 121
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Military equipment (pre‑conflict) — 122
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Planning for a post‑Saddam Hussein Iraq — 122
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The invasion — 123
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The post‑conflict period — 123
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Reconstruction — 124
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De‑Ba'athification — 125
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Security Sector Reform — 125
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Resources — 126
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Military equipment (post‑conflict) — 126
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Civilian personnel — 127
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Service Personnel — 127
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Civilian casualties — 128
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Lessons — 129
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The decision to go to war — 129
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Weapons of mass destruction — 130
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The invasion of Iraq — 133
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The post‑conflict period — 134
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Reconstruction — 135
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De‑Ba'athification — 137
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Security Sector Reform — 138
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Resources — 138
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Military equipment (post‑conflict) — 139
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Civilian personnel — 140
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Timeline of events — 141