Volume I: Introduction and key events from January 2020 to May

Figure 1: Message from Mr Hancock to Mr Cummings, 25 January 2020 44 Figure 2: Reported cases in selected European countries in

  • February 2020 — 80

  • Figure 3: Daily confirmed cases from 1 to 12 March 2020 across the UK — 93

  • Figure 4: Exchange of messages between Mr Cummings and Mr Gove on 4 March 2020 — 121

  • Figure 5: Exchange of messages between Mr Cummings and Mr Gove on 11 March 2020 — 132

  • Figure 6: Daily confirmed cases from 7 February to 13 March 2020 across the UK — 153

Figure 7: Notes on a whiteboard during the meeting at

  • 10 Downing Street on 13 March 2020 — 157

Figure 8: Notes on a whiteboard during the meeting at

  • 10 Downing Street on 14 March 2020 — 161

Figure 9: Message from Mr Cummings to Mr Johnson on 14 March 2020 163 Figure 10: Message from Mr Cummings to Mr Johnson on 15 March 2020 166 Figure 11: Notes on a whiteboard during a ministerial meeting on

  • 15 March 2020 — 168

Figure 12: Daily confirmed cases from 1 to 23 March 2020 across the UK 194 Figure 13: Daily confirmed cases from 1 March to 30 April 2020 across the UK 215 Figure 14: Daily deaths per 100,000 population by date of death from

  • 23 March to 13 July 2020 across the UK — 216

  • Figure 15: Five tests for adjusting the lockdown, 16 April 2020 — 226

ix
  • Figure 16: UK government steps of adjustment to current social distancing measures — 241

Figure 17: Daily deaths per 100,000 population by date of death from

  • 6 July to 28 December 2020 across the UK — 267

  • Figure 18: Increase in infections in Northern Ireland from 1 September to 1 October 2020 — 314

  • Figure 19: Alert levels in Wales, December 2020 — 342

  • Figure 20a: Tiers in England from 20 December 2020 — 347

  • Figure 20b:Tiers in England from 26 December 2020 — 347

  • Figure 20c: Tiers in England from 31 December 2020 — 348

  • Figure 21: Revised rules for Christmas 2020 — 351

  • Figure 22: UK Covid-19 statistics at 31 December 2020 — 356

  • Figure 23: Estimated percentage of the population testing positive for Covid-19 from 5 December 2020 to 16 January 2021 — 358

  • Figure 24: UK Covid-19 statistics at 15 February 2021 — 364

Figure 25: Steps in the COVID-19 Response – Spring 2021 roadmap,

February 2021 366 Figure 26: Extract from Moving Forward: The Executive's Pathway out of Restrictions 368

  • Figure 27: Vaccine doses across the UK, as at 21 February 2021 — 369

  • Figure 28: Step 3, COVID-19 Response – Spring 2021 roadmap — 379

  • Figure 29: Estimated percentage of the population testing positive for Covid-19 from 1 May to 31 July 2021 across the UK — 389

  • Figure 30: Step 4, COVID-19 Response – Spring 2021 roadmap — 392

  • Figure 31: Alert levels in Wales in the summer of 2021 — 393

Figure 32: Estimated percentage of the population testing positive for Covid-19 from 1 August to 31 October 2021 across the UK 399

x

Figure 33: Estimated percentage of the population testing positive for

Covid-19 from 31 October to 31 December 2021 across the UK 408 Figure 34: Daily deaths per 100,000 population by date of death from

  • 31 October to 31 December 2021 across the UK — 409

  • Figure 35: Plan B measures announced on 8 December 2021 — 416

Figure 36: Estimated percentage of the population testing positive for

  • Covid-19 from 1 December 2021 to 1 June 2022 across the UK — 430

Figure 37: Daily deaths per 100,000 population by date of death from

  • 1 December 2021 to 1 June 2022 across the UK — 431

Figure 38: Cumulative daily deaths per 100,000 by date of death from

  • May 2021 to May 2022 across the UK — 436

Volume II: Key themes, lessons and recommendations

  • Figure 39: Organogram showing SAGE and its sub-groups — 10

  • Figure 40: 'Stay Home, Protect the NHS, Save Lives', 30 April 2020 — 164

  • Figure 41: 'Stay Alert, Control the Virus, Save Lives', 17 July 2020 — 164

  • Figure 42: FACTS infographic, June 2020 — 166

  • Figure 43: 'Hands, Face, Space', September 2020 — 168

  • Figure 44: 'Hands, Face, Space, Fresh Air', March 2021 — 168

  • Figure 45: 'Avoid the Three Cs' — 173

xi

List of tables